222 replies to this topic

[foxfire]

Who better to "shoot the breeze" than the all time top weather dude! Shoot some of that ole RMNP weather at us again Bee! Welcome back!

[randyman]

Glad to have you back I wondered where you've been. How about these?
O.K., maybe it's a bit much.....

Randyman

[weatherbe]

Well dang Randyman!!!!! ... now that is what I'm talking about ...

Thanks to all of you for the nice welcome back. I sure appreciate it.

Weather

Glad to have you back  I wondered where you've been. How about these?                            
O.K., maybe it's a bit much.....

Randyman

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[weatherbe]

Hi all, just a quick note on the weekend weather in Estes. The latest model analysis shows the potential for a snow storm in Estes late Saturday through possibly all of Sunday. The computer models have a hard time with spring storms, and this one will be no exception. If the storm comes in though as the latest model runs suggest, then this could be a big one for
Estes, with several inches possible. If you have outdoor plans this weekend, you may want to keep a close eye on the sky. I can't tell you how many times I have seen storms like this fall apart when they get to town so don't change your plans just yet. But do keep close tabs on the weekend weather forecasts. As of now, this one has spring snow storm written all over
it, or as I have referred to in the past, one of those meteorological bombs that hit about once a spring. We'll see.

Take care,
Weather

[weatherbe]

I am curious Eric, how much snow you ended up with at your home, and I am also curious Smudge what your totals were. Talk about a storm that was all over the place. So far I think the town of Estes didn't get more than 3 or so inches, while some of the higher areas around Estes got blasted. Nederland received over a foot and some areas near the Indian Peaks Wilderness received 2 feet. I am curious if the big snow totals made it as far as Allenspark. Boulder was between 6 and 12 inches while some places just east of Boulder exceeded a foot. It is a strange meteorological phenomena as to what happened to Estes, but I have seen this many times before even when I lived in Boulder. I always called it "being in the hole of the doughnut." In my 20 years in Boulder, there were several times when Boulder was completely dry while only mile or two in any direction outside of town, there were blizzard conditions and snowfall totals over a foot. I actually drove in each direction from the middle of town and ran into whiteout conditions in that mile or so radius. Needless to say it would take way too much time to explain why this happens, but apparently the town of Estes basked in that doughnut hole while much of the front range was snowed in.

Weather

[Weaver]

I posted a new topic in this forum regarding the effects of this storm on mountain hikes (in particular Long's Peak) this summer. Can you help with that question?

[smudge]

yeah...only about 4 inches here in estes...maybe a kiss more...but it is already long gone.

[weatherbe]

Now that's different terminology. I'd love to go on air and say, "Today we had 4 inches and a kiss." That might either get me fired or at the very least get me some interesting mail ...

Weather (who has kissed the snow but not the other way around ... huh

yeah...only about 4 inches here in estes...maybe a kiss more...but it is already long gone.

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[weatherbe]

Hey all, just to let you know that the EP Trail Gazette will soon be coming out with their Vacation Edition in May. I have an article in the paper on what to expect weather-wise in all the seasons in Estes. I think this will also be online when it comes out. If you are in town, be sure and pick up a copy if you are interested in year round Estes Park climate. I will check with the News Editor to see if this will also be placed online. If for some reason it is not online and you can't a copy of the paper, let me know, and I'll send you a copy of the article via email.

Weather

[weatherbe]

For those of you in Estes through early next week or headed that way or just curious about the weather patterns, looks like a big change may be on the way. I have been closely watching the computer models, and every model run shows a storm coming in on Sunday into Monday gaining more and more strength. Still too early to call this a major fall storm, but it sure has the makings of something big. If the storm does materialze, this will surely put an end to all the colors. My advice is to get out there on Saturday if you get a chance, because the end may be on the way. This storm could bring everything from thunderstorms, intense lighteing to heavy snow. That said, we are in that time of year when storms can look mighty beastlike 48 hours away only to come to town like a baby kitten. I'll throw another update to the site on Saturday for all those interested.

Take care,
Weather

[Jo]

Thanks for keeping us updated. Always good to know what to expect.

Jo

[weatherbe]

My pleasure Jo! As expected, a winter storm watch has been posted for Sunday evening through Monday evening. This potential snow storm is still coming together and needs to become more organized before I am convinced this will be an early season snow storm. Remember a winter storm watch only refers to potential and does not mean this will definitely happen. A winter storm warning means it is very likely the storm will take place. I will say this though, if all the necessary ingredients do come together, this could make for heavy accumulations, especially in the higher elevations and possibly down to the town's elevation. I'll send another update around midday or early afternoon.

Weather

Thanks for keeping us updated. Always good to know what to expect.

Jo

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[weatherbe]

The storm that I have been watching the last couple of days is mighty interesting and quite complex. The fact that there is a winter storm watching stretching from Trinidad, CO to Cheyenne, WY tells you that the computer models are still very up in the air as to where the bulls-eye will be for the biggest snowfall. In almost 2 decades of forecasting in CO, I rarely saw a winter storm watch box including the whole front range from north to south in CO and also stretching up to Wy. I cannot see this whole area getting blasted. These storms that come down into CO are very tightly wound and dependent on a strong surface low pressure system. If the low tracks through southern CO, then Denver/Bouder to Estes Park will get popped. If the storm dips into central to northern New Mexico, then Puebloe to Colorado Springs will get popped. And if the low tracks through Boulder and Denver, then southern Wyoming will get popped. That said, there is a chance that very heavy accumulations will fall north of the low, if the storm continues to strengthen. If the bulls-eye hits the front range from Boulder to Estes, then 5 to 10 inches could fall in Boulder and over a foot could fall in Estes, with higher amounts as you go up in elevation. Suffice to say, this could be one of the biggest early October storms I have seen along the front range in the last 5 years. I am not even going to speculate who is going to get the heavy accumulations because the computer models are all over the place. I'll post another update on Sunday morning. At this point, rain should be increasing on Sunday, with rain changing to snow along the front range as the cold air moves in. More to come on this developing storm system. If you have to travel Sunday into Monday, keep an eye on the sky. Could get interesting!

Weather

[Jo]

This is such interesting info Weatherbe. It's fascinating to learn some of how forecasting works.

Right now it's dark outside and I'm too bleary eyed to tell what's happening currently, but I'll let you know later how it looks.

Joanna

[weatherbe]

Joanna, I would love to get some reports from where you are. This storm is really taking shape, and now the winter storm watch has turned into a winter storm warning which means there is a high likelihood for heavy accumulations with this system. More to come on this. I am still waiting on the mid morning computer models.

Weather

This is such interesting info Weatherbe. It's fascinating to learn some of how forecasting works.

Right now it's dark outside and I'm too bleary eyed to tell what's happening currently, but I'll let you know later how it looks.

Joanna

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